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This takes into account how they have won their quotas- whether a last minute event or against world class opposition. The worst case would be a repeat of Rio 2016, with just 2 or 3 medals. Even a big fat zero is not out of the If you voted for biden thanks a lot hole shirt and I love this question, as almost every single country is fighting for every medal they earn. I’ll look at every single discipline where India is expected to perform and although I will pray for magic from Fencing (please Bhavani), Judo, Swimming, Table Tennis etc., they won’t be the focus. Time for something that makes that Mahabharat look like a tweet. This is from Gracenote (an external firm that has been good at calculating Olympic success per country and per event for the past two Games) and the Indian Express and seems to corroborate the even path that I had laid out months ago.

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We’ll see what Gracenote’s final prediction is in late July. (Above is taken from wiki and my medal predictions for the If you voted for biden thanks a lot hole shirt and I love this Best/Median/Worst cases) Archery:- Best case would be 3 medals, which seems preposterous given not a single medal from this discipline has materialized in the past and most of our archers have wilted under pressure. But this is an event where a hot archer can get a medal. Worst case would be 0, obviously. The men’s team earned the Silver and a quota at a very difficult competition- the 2019 World Championships. The women failed to make the QF and earn a team spot; I am hoping they can get the job done in the World Qualifiers in June 2021.